Nils Hoglander

Nashville Predators · LW · #21

CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price +1855 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
CAR allow 4.81 points a game to forwards: 30th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 4.10, the fewest
Opposing goalie
Pyotr Kochetkov (Expected)
Saves: 196 of 211 (.929) over his last 10 games · 8 of CAR's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 9.4 min · 2026–27: 10.5 (14 games)
Power play: 0.3 min last 5 · 0.5 2026–27
Rest
2 days off since Oct 31 vs TB

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 7 at home).

at OTT, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 12.6 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 12.4 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 8.2 min
vs STL, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 9.4 min
at BOS, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 12.2 min
at PIT, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 9.5 min
vs COL, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 11.2 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 6.2 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 10 min
vs TB, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 10.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Roman JosiD
Filip ForsbergLW
Steven StamkosC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Predators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CAR

Hoglander didn't play the Dec 17, 2025 meeting; points the last time Hoglander faced them: 1 (Mar 4)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 35%; at +185
Books’ fair: 26%; margin removed
Time on ice: 10.2; 10 games · 11.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 26%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1855 books	−3601 book	2/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+255Best	−360Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	+185	—
betPARX1 min ago	+185	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+185	—
Bovada6 min ago	+180	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +235 → +185 since first seen

Nils Hoglander's full game log and splits