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Nikita Kucherov

Tampa Bay Lightning · RW · #86

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1163 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 20.9 min
  2. at NYI, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 17.8 min
  3. at NYR, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 23.3 min
  4. vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 8, cleared, 22.3 min
  5. vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 7, cleared, 20.7 min
  6. at VGK, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 18.3 min
  7. at COL, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 20.7 min
  8. at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 3, missed, 20 min
  9. vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 16.2 min
  10. at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 23.7 min
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different on Tuesday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)

    Over 3.5 without him: 2 of 13; with him: 28 of 83 (96 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)

    Over 3.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 29 of 88 (91 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game

    Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet

  • Defense vs forwards

    DET allow 17.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 27th most of 32

    15 games · last 10 games: 17.5, 27th most

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

  • Brandon HagelLW

  • Jake GuentzelC

  • Brayden PointC

  • Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

  • Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Tuesday. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Shots on Goal: 3 in 16.5 min, Apr 13 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
3
−0.5 vs line
Median
2
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
46%
at +116
Books’ fair
42%
margin removed
Time on ice
20.4
10 games · 20.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−40001 book—10/10
−6501 book—7/10
−2201 book—4/10
+1163 books−1623 books2/10
+2251 book—2/10
+4501 book—2/10
+9501 book—2/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Pinnacle40 hr ago+137Best−184
Bally Bet40 hr ago+116−162
DraftKings40 hr ago+110−150Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +129 → +116 since first seen

Nikita Kucherov's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.