Nico Sturm

Minnesota Wild · C · #78

MIN @ PHI · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price +3601 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 12; with him: 15 of 55 (67 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 10; with him: 6 of 17 (27 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar started PHI's last game
Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 6.69 points a game to forwards: 12th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 21st most

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 8 on the road).

at TB, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 10.9 min
at FLA, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 12.9 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 3.3 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 10.2 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 9.9 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 13.4 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 12.5 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 11.3 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 10.1 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 9.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Sturm didn't play the Mar 12 meeting; points the last time Sturm faced them: 0 (Dec 31, 2024)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 22%; at +360
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Time on ice: 10.4; 10 games · 10.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	+3601 book	2/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ points”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
DraftKings9 hr ago	+360Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +400 → +360 since first seen

Nico Sturm's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.