Nico Hischier
STL @ NJ · LiveGame log against Under 2.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Jordan Binnington (Confirmed)
Saves: 199 of 230 (.865) over his last 10 games · 2 of STL's last 10 starts · Joel Hofer started 8
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 19.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 20.3, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.5 min · 2026–27: 18.1 (15 games)
Power play: 3.3 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs EDM
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against STL in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Jack HughesC
Jesper BrattLW
Arseny GritsyukRW
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs STL
Shots on Goal: 2 in 18.6 min, Feb 28 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against STL on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −177
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −142
Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −142, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| −2301 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +1253 books | −1773 books | 5/10 | |
| +2851 book | — | 8/10 | |
| +6501 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +15001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings2 hr ago | +115 | −155Best |
| Bally Bet2 hr ago | +125 | −177 |
| Pinnacle2 hr ago | +136Best | −183 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.51.5 → 2.5 since first seen
This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.


