Nick Suzuki

Montreal Canadiens · C · #14

MTL @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2307 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-09-29: 0, missed, 18.7 min
at PIT, 2026-10-03: 4, cleared, 22.7 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-06: 2, cleared, 21.8 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 21 min
vs DET, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 26.1 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 23.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 1, cleared, 20.3 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 20.8 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 21.1 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-05: 3, cleared, 20.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his last 5 came before Suzuki missed 6 games. Since he came back: Over 0.5 in 1 of 1.

TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 6 games in a row (Oct 23 – Nov 3)
Over 0.5 since: 1 of 1
Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 8; with him: 75 of 103 (111 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 9; with him: 75 of 102 (111 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)
Saves: 267 of 300 (.890) over his last 10 games · 7 of TOR's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Lane HutsonD
Cole CaufieldRW
Juraj SlafkovskyLW
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Points: 0 in 18.7 min, Sep 29 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 9 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.5; +1 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 70%; at −230
Books’ fair: 67%; margin removed
Our chance: 70%; estimate · fair −228

Research, not a pick. At −215 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −228, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2307 books	+1802 books	8/10
+2056 books	pick'em only	4/10
+6506 books	—	2/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−215Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−215Best	—
BetRivers6 min ago	−215Best	—
Bovada6 min ago	−230	—
DraftKings6 min ago	−245	+180Best
Pinnacle6 min ago	−245	+180Best
FanDuel6 min ago	−250	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Nick Suzuki's full game log and splits