Nick Schmaltz
UTAH @ OTT · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 54 of 95 (105 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)
Under 0.5 without him: 40 of 73; with him: 3 of 5 (78 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 186 of 210 (.886) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 3.41 assists a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 3.20, 21st most
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against OTT in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 4 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Mikhail SergachevD
Clayton KellerRW
Logan CooleyC
John MarinoDInjured Reserve
Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs OTT
Assists: 0 in 20.5 min, Jan 7 (home)
Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against OTT on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −188
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −134
Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1337 books | −1882 books | 5/10 | |
| +7003 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +25001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings4 min ago | +130 | −180Best |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | +140Best | −188 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | +133 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | +133 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +133 | — |
| Bovada4 min ago | +138 | — |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +132 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.