Nick Schmaltz

Utah Mammoth · C · #8

UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1855 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 16.9 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 2, missed, 19.3 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 17 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 17.7 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 17.8 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 15 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 18.5 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 15.4 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 18.4 min
at TOR, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 16.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)
Saves: 262 of 300 (.873) over his last 10 games · 3 of MTL's last 10 starts · Jacob Fowler started 7
Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 14 of 30; with him: 46 of 74 (104 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 54 of 95 (104 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MTL allow 3.53 assists a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 3.10, 25th most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MTL in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 against MTL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Logan CooleyC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Assists: 0 in 23.2 min, Nov 26, 2025 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MTL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −185
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −151

Research, not a pick. At −185 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −151, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1355 books	−1852 books	5/10
	+8002 books	—	8/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 hr ago	+135	−185Best
Pinnacle2 hr ago	+138	−185Best
Bally Bet2 hr ago	+123	—
BetRivers2 hr ago	+123	—
Bovada2 hr ago	+150Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Nick Schmaltz's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.