Nick Paul

Toronto Maple Leafs · LW · #20

UTAH @ TOR · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +4242 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
John Tavares: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 9; with him: 1 of 7 (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kirill Marchenko: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 2; with him: 2 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Max Domi: Injured Reserve (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Karel Vejmelka started UTAH's last game
Saves: 209 of 242 (.864) over his last 10 games · 8 of UTAH's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet

11%1 of 9L20 · Without Tavares

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 1 of 9 games without John Tavares (his last 20 games).

at MTL, 2026-04-24: 0, missed, 8 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-04-26: 0, missed, 7.6 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-05-01: 0, missed, 12.4 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-05-03: 0, missed, 12.6 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-09-29: 0, missed, 15.5 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-09-30: 0, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 17.1 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-06: 0, missed, 13.5 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 17.1 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 17.3 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 14 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 17.2 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 14.6 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-19: 1, cleared, 18.9 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 16.8 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 17.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 16 min
at CGY, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 17.6 min
at SEA, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 16.3 min
at VAN, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 17.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

William NylanderRW
Auston MatthewsC
John TavaresCOut
Kirill MarchenkoRWInjured Reserve
Max DomiCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Maple Leafs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Goals: 0 in 14 min, Oct 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Tavares · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 11%; 1 of 9
Price implies: 19%; at +424
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 16.9; 9 games · 13.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Tavares

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+4242 books	pick'em only	1/9
	+41312 books	—	0/9

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings7 hr ago	+450Best	—
Bally Bet7 hr ago	+400	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +390 → +424 since first seen

Nick Paul's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.