Neal Pionk

Winnipeg Jets · D · #4

VAN @ WPG · Thu, Nov 5 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1101 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

58%7 of 12L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of 12 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

at CBJ, 2026-04-04: 2, missed, 23.9 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-04-06: 1, missed, 22.3 min (not counted)
at STL, 2026-04-09: 5, cleared, 24.1 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 2, missed, 23.4 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 23.9 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-05: 2, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
vs COL, 2026-10-07: 1, missed, 23.3 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 25 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 23.8 min
at CHI, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 25.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 23.4 min
at STL, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 26.8 min
at DAL, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 29.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 25.4 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 21.5 min
at TB, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 22.1 min
at FLA, 2026-10-30: 4, cleared, 23.7 min
at CAR, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 22.9 min
at MTL, 2026-11-03: 3, cleared, 23.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different yesterday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)
Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 18 of 60 (72 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 19; with him: 16 of 54 (73 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Kevin Lankinen started VAN's last game
Saves: 206 of 254 (.811) over his last 10 games · 3 of VAN's last 10 starts · Leevi Merilainen started 7 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs defensemen
VAN allow 7.1 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 20th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 7.4, 17th most

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VAN in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against VAN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Kyle ConnorLW
Mark ScheifeleC
Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve
Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Pionk didn't play the Mar 7 meeting; shots on goal the last time Pionk faced them: 1 (Nov 11, 2025)

Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against VAN on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 2.5

Average: 2.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 58%; 7 of 12
Price implies: 48%; at +110
Books’ fair: 44%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.4; 12 games · 22.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 44%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−12001 book	—	11/12
−2601 book	—	9/12
+1101 book	−1501 book	7/12
+2751 book	—	4/12
+6501 book	—	0/12
+15001 book	—	0/12

Compare 1 sportsbook at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings7 hr ago	+110Best	−150Best

Prices as of 7:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

+115 → +110 since first seen

Neal Pionk's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:28 PM ET.