Neal Pionk

Winnipeg Jets · D · #4

WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1387 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)
Over 2.5 without him: 6 of 12; with him: 19 of 61 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 2.5 without him: 8 of 18; with him: 17 of 55 (73 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jacob Fowler (Confirmed)
Saves: 239 of 256 (.934) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
MTL allow 7.7 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 12th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 7.7, 16th most

55%6 of 11L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of 11 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

at DAL, 2026-04-02: 1, missed, 18.8 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-04-04: 2, missed, 23.9 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-04-06: 1, missed, 22.3 min (not counted)
at STL, 2026-04-09: 5, cleared, 24.1 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 2, missed, 23.4 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 23.9 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-05: 2, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
vs COL, 2026-10-07: 1, missed, 23.3 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 25 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 23.8 min
at CHI, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 25.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 23.4 min
at STL, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 26.8 min
at DAL, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 29.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 25.4 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 21.5 min
at TB, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 22.1 min
at FLA, 2026-10-30: 4, cleared, 23.7 min
at CAR, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 22.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Kyle ConnorLW
Mark ScheifeleC
Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve
Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Shots on Goal: 3 in 25.4 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MTL on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 2.5

Average: 2.5; +0 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 55%; 6 of 11
Price implies: 42%; at +138
Books’ fair: 40%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.5; 11 games · 22.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−12003 books	—	10/11
−2133 books	pick'em only	8/11
+1387 books	−1876 books	6/11
+3403 books	—	4/11
+8001 book	—	0/11
+19001 book	—	0/11

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel1 min ago	+144Best	−190
Bally Bet2 min ago	+138	−195
betPARX1 min ago	+138	−195
BetRivers1 min ago	+138	—
DraftKings2 min ago	+135	−185
Pinnacle2 min ago	+132	−177
Bovada2 min ago	+125	−165Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

1.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Neal Pionk's full game log and splits