Nazem Kadri

Colorado Avalanche · C · #91

NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1566 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 2, hit, 24.3 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 4, missed, 20.9 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 1, hit, 21.3 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 2, hit, 21.6 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 15.1 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 16.7 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 2, hit, 15.1 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 2, hit, 20 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 15.9 min
at CBJ, 2026-11-03: 1, hit, 14.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Under 2.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: 22 of 38 (45 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 20.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 11th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 19.9, 16th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 16.5 min · 2026–27: 18.8 (16 games)
Power play: 4.2 min last 5 · 3.9 2026–27

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Cale MakarD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Shots on Goal: 3 in 16.7 min, Oct 25 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against NSH on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −156
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20002 books	—	0/10
−2852 books	—	3/10
+1176 books	−1565 books	7/10
+2452 books	—	8/10
+5502 books	—	10/10
+13001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings2 min ago	+100	−135Best
FanDuel1 min ago	+106	−138
Pinnacle2 min ago	+117	−156
Bally Bet2 min ago	+120Best	−175
betPARX1 min ago	+120Best	−175
BetRivers1 min ago	+120Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

1.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Nazem Kadri's full game log and splits