Nazem Kadri

Colorado Avalanche · C · #91

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2166 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: 24 of 38 (44 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 178 of 207 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 4.00 assists a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 3.80, 14th most

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at DAL, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 22.8 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 2, missed, 24.3 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 1, missed, 20.9 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 21.3 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 21.6 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 15.1 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 16.7 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 15.1 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 20 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 15.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Kadri didn't play the Jan 10 meeting; assists the last time Kadri faced them: 0 (Jan 13)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −216
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −152

Research, not a pick. At −215 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −152, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1696 books	−2162 books	5/10
	+9482 books	—	9/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 min ago	+155	−215Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	+160	−218
Bally Bet5 min ago	+170Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	+170Best	—
BetRivers6 min ago	+170Best	—
Bovada5 min ago	+168	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Nazem Kadri's full game log and splits