Nathan MacKinnon

Colorado Avalanche · C · #29

NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1483 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 4, cleared, 25.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 9, cleared, 23 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 24.3 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 21.3 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 4, cleared, 18.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 19.8 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 19 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 5, cleared, 19.1 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 19.4 min
at CBJ, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 19.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 3.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 61 of 100 (109 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 20.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 11th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 19.9, 16th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.4 min · 2026–27: 20.5 (16 games)
Power play: 4.3 min last 5 · 4.1 2026–27

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Martin NecasC
Cale MakarD
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Shots on Goal: 2 in 19.8 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against NSH on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −148
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Time on ice: 20.9; 10 games · 22.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 56%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−80001 book	—	10/10
−15002 books	—	8/10
−3702 books	—	5/10
−1483 books	+1143 books	5/10
+1422 books	—	3/10
+2602 books	—	1/10
+5002 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings14 min ago	−145Best	+105
FanDuel4 min ago	−148	+114Best
Pinnacle14 min ago	−148	+114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −154 → −148 since first seen

Nathan MacKinnon's full game log and splits