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Nathan MacKinnon

Colorado Avalanche · C · #29

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 Points, typical price −2152 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 1.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. at DAL, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 20 min
  2. vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 0, hit, 25.4 min
  3. vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 4, missed, 23 min
  4. at PHI, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 24.3 min
  5. at NJ, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 21.3 min
  6. vs TB, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 18.2 min
  7. at NSH, 2026-10-25: 1, hit, 19.8 min
  8. vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 1, hit, 19 min
  9. vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 19.1 min
  10. at CHI, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 19.4 min
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 points.

Count only

Under 1.5 · L10

Matchup · 12 games

CBJ allow 6.83 points a game to forwards: 11th most of 32

Rest · back-to-back

Avalanche played last night (at CHI): 2nd night of a back-to-back

Last vs CBJ

Points: 0 in 20.1 min, Jan 10 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average
1.5
±0 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
68%
at −215
Books’ fair
64%
margin removed
Our chance
61%
estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At −215 the price is worse than our fair −156, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3012 books—3/10
+1572 books−2151 book6/10
+5352 books—8/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
DraftKings14 min ago+160Best−215Best
FanDuel2 min ago+154—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Nathan MacKinnon's full game log and splits