Nathan MacKinnon
COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Under 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 points.
Count only
Under 1.5 · L10Matchup · 12 games
CBJ allow 6.83 points a game to forwards: 11th most of 32
Rest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): 2nd night of a back-to-back
Last vs CBJ
Points: 0 in 20.1 min, Jan 10 (home)
Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CBJ on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 68%
- at −215
- Books’ fair
- 64%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −156
Research, not a pick. At −215 the price is worse than our fair −156, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3012 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +1572 books | −2151 book | 6/10 | |
| +5352 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings14 min ago | +160Best | −215Best |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +154 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.


