Moritz Seider

Detroit Red Wings · D · #53

VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1575 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

71%5 of 7L20 · Without Larkin

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of 7 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-09: 3, cleared, 22.1 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 26.8 min (not counted)
at TB, 2026-04-13: 4, cleared, 25.8 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 3, cleared, 16.9 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 2, cleared, 25.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 25.7 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 3, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 1, missed, 22.4 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 29.6 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 23.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 25.8 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 29.8 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 28.5 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 23.4 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 24.7 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 30.1 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 24.3 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 24.6 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 27.5 min
at TB, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 30.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

5 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Dylan Larkin playing; Larkin is out today. Without him: Over 1.5 in 12 of 14.

TodayTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 1.5 without him: 12 of 14; with him: 54 of 84 (98 games as teammates)
TodayOpposing goalie
Carter Hart (Expected)
Saves: 221 of 247 (.895) over his last 10 games · 4 of VGK's last 10 starts · Adin Hill started 6
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 1.5 without him: 18 of 26; with him: 48 of 72 (98 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Albert Johansson: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 63 of 93 (98 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VGK in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against VGK on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Alex DeBrincatRW
Lucas RaymondLW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Shots on Goal: 3 in 28.7 min, Mar 4 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 1.5

Average: 2.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 71%; 5 of 7
Price implies: 61%; at −157
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.9; 7 games · 25.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 56%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−7502 books	—	7/7
−1575 books	+1104 books	5/7
+1902 books	—	3/7
+5001 book	—	0/7
+13001 book	—	0/7

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−148Best	+114
DraftKings16 min ago	−155	+115Best
Bally Bet16 min ago	−157	+110
betPARX6 min ago	−157	+110
BetRivers7 min ago	−157	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −152 → −157 since first seen

Moritz Seider's full game log and splits