Moritz Seider

Detroit Red Wings · D · #53

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1503 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

6 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Dylan Larkin playing; Larkin is out yesterday. Without him: Over 1.5 in 12 of 13.

YesterdayTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 1.5 without him: 12 of 13; with him: 54 of 84 (97 games as teammates)
YesterdayRest · back-to-back
Red Wings played the day before (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 1.5 without him: 18 of 25; with him: 48 of 72 (97 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Albert Johansson: Out (undisclosed)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 4; with him: 63 of 93 (97 games as teammates)

83%5 of 6L20 · Without Larkin

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of 6 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs CBJ, 2026-04-07: 0, missed, 29.6 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-09: 3, cleared, 22.1 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 26.8 min (not counted)
at TB, 2026-04-13: 4, cleared, 25.8 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 3, cleared, 16.9 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 2, cleared, 25.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 25.7 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 3, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 1, missed, 22.4 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 29.6 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 23.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 25.8 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 29.8 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 28.5 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 23.4 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 24.7 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 30.1 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 24.3 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 24.6 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 27.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Alex DeBrincatRW
Viktor ArvidssonLW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Shots on Goal: 4 in 25.8 min, Apr 13 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 8 of 9 games against TB on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 1.5

Average: 2.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 2.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 83%; 5 of 6
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.1; 6 games · 25.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 56%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−6501 book	—	6/6
−1503 books	+1103 books	5/6
+1851 book	—	3/6
+4751 book	—	0/6
+12001 book	—	0/6

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet7 hr ago	−143Best	+104
Pinnacle7 hr ago	−150	+110
DraftKings7 hr ago	−160	+115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −142 → −150 since first seen

Moritz Seider's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.