Morgan Geekie

Boston Bruins · C · #39

BOS @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2406 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at SJ, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 17.8 min
at ANA, 2026-10-16: 1, missed, 20 min
at LA, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 17.8 min
at DAL, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 17 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 14.6 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 15.6 min
at CAR, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 16.8 min
at STL, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 15.3 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 16.4 min
vs VGK, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 17 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Arturs Silovs (Confirmed)
Saves: 236 of 266 (.887) over his last 10 games · 7 of PIT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PIT allow 4.20 assists a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 5.00, 3rd most
Time on ice
Last 5: 16.2 min · 2026–27: 17.1 (16 games)
Power play: 4.7 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Rest
2 days off since Nov 2 vs VGK

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PIT in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 against PIT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

David PastrnakRW
Charlie McAvoyD
JJ PeterkaRW

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bruins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PIT

Assists: 1 in 19.1 min, Mar 8 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against PIT on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −240
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −186

Research, not a pick. At −206 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −186, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1656 books	−2402 books	6/10
	+9002 books	—	9/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle2 min ago	+152	−206Best
DraftKings2 min ago	+175Best	−240
Bally Bet2 min ago	+165	—
betPARX1 min ago	+165	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+165	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+162	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:44 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Morgan Geekie's full game log and splits