Mitch Marner

Vegas Golden Knights · RW · #93

VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price −1217 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Golden Knights played last night (at BOS): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 8; with him: 3 of 6 (14 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Arturs Silovs (Confirmed)
Saves: 247 of 275 (.898) over his last 10 games · 6 of PIT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PIT allow 4.21 assists a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 4.80, 2nd most

100%10 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 10 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).

vs TOR, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 24.2 min
vs LA, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 20.3 min
at MIN, 2026-10-12: 1, cleared, 21.5 min
at NSH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 15.4 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 18.7 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 17.1 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 17.5 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 21.7 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 17.7 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 24.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 assists.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Mark StoneRW
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PIT

Assists: 2 in 17.1 min, Oct 17 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against PIT on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 10 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −121
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −154, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1217 books	−1022 books	10/10
+4203 books	—	4/10
+14002 books	—	0/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 min ago	−120Best	−110
Bally Bet2 min ago	−121	—
betPARX2 min ago	−121	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−121	—
Bovada2 min ago	−121	—
FanDuel1 min ago	−122	—
Pinnacle2 min ago	−140	+105Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −128 → −121 since first seen

Mitch Marner's full game log and splits