Mikko Rantanen

Dallas Stars · RW · #96

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1342 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 38; with him: 21 of 57 (95 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Oskar Back: Injured Reserve (finger)
Over 2.5 without him: 8 of 23; with him: 28 of 72 (95 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson started WSH's last game
Saves: 253 of 279 (.907) over his last 10 games · 7 of WSH's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
WSH allow 20.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 20.3, 14th most

36%5 of 14L20 · Without Duchene

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of 14 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 3, cleared, 21.4 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 1, missed, 19.2 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-22: 6, cleared, 27.2 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 2, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 2, missed, 23.5 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 21.8 min (not counted)
vs STL, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 22.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-03: 3, cleared, 23.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 3, cleared, 17.6 min
at BUF, 2026-10-08: 2, missed, 15.5 min
at PIT, 2026-10-10: 4, cleared, 23.2 min
vs COL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 21.6 min
at COL, 2026-10-14: 1, missed, 22.7 min
at CHI, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 18.8 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 6, cleared, 22.2 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 20.2 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 18.9 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 17.5 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 23.1 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 18.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Jason RobertsonLW
Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve
Miro HeiskanenD
Oskar BackCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Shots on Goal: 1 in 20.6 min, Jan 7 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against WSH on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 2.5

Average: 2; −0.5 vs line
Median: 1.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 36%; 5 of 14
Price implies: 43%; at +134
Books’ fair: 40%; margin removed
Time on ice: 20.4; 14 games · 20.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−10001 book	—	12/14
−1902 books	+1251 book	7/14
+1342 books	−1792 books	5/14
+3401 book	—	2/14
+8001 book	—	1/14
+18001 book	—	1/14

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings5 hr ago	+135Best	−180
Pinnacle5 hr ago	+133	−178Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +130 → +134 since first seen

Mikko Rantanen's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.