Mikael Granlund

Anaheim Ducks · C · #64

ANA @ VAN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1506 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 4.94 assists a game to forwards: the most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 4.80, 2nd most
Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 19 of 29; with him: 40 of 54 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 10; with him: 51 of 73 (83 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Leevi Merilainen (Expected)
Saves: 271 of 302 (.897) over his last 10 games · 7 of VAN's last 10 starts

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-09: 1, missed, 16.5 min
at CGY, 2026-10-10: 2, missed, 19.4 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 20.9 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 16.1 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 20.6 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 20.1 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 21.7 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 22.6 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 23.2 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 20.1 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Leo CarlssonC
Cutter GauthierLW
Beckett SenneckeRW
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Assists: 0 in 22.6 min, Oct 27 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against VAN on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At −150 the price is worse than our fair −142, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1066 books	−1501 book	6/10
+5503 books	—	9/10
+17492 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings7 min ago	+110	−150Best
Bally Bet2 min ago	−112	—
betPARX2 min ago	−112	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−112	—
Bovada2 min ago	+112Best	—
FanDuel3 min ago	+100	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:03 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Mikael Granlund's full game log and splits