Mika Zibanejad

New York Rangers · C · #93

PHI @ NYR · Live

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1753 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 3, missed, 19.5 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 23 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 20.2 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 1, hit, 24.7 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 1, hit, 18.7 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 21.6 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 19.6 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, hit, 19.3 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 5, missed, 20.1 min
vs STL, 2026-11-03: 1, hit, 17.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different yesterday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Joseph Woll (Confirmed)
Saves: 255 of 287 (.889) over his last 10 games · 4 of PHI's last 10 starts · Dan Vladar started 6
Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Under 2.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 9 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 21.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 19.0, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.7 min · 2026–27: 20.4 (16 games)
Power play: 1.7 min last 5 · 3.1 2026–27

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 8 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
J.T. MillerLW
Sean DurziDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Shots on Goal: 3 in 17.8 min, Mar 9 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against PHI on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 1.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −160

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −160, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−10001 book	—	1/10
−2251 book	—	6/10
+1253 books	−1753 books	6/10
+3101 book	—	9/10
+7501 book	—	9/10
+18001 book	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle20 hr ago	+122	−160Best
DraftKings20 hr ago	+130Best	−175
Bally Bet20 hr ago	+125	−180
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.

Mika Zibanejad's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.