Mika Zibanejad
PHI @ NYR · LiveGame log against Under 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.
What's different yesterday
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayOpposing goalie
Joseph Woll (Confirmed)
Saves: 255 of 287 (.889) over his last 10 games · 4 of PHI's last 10 starts · Dan Vladar started 6
Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Under 2.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 9 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 21.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 19.0, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.7 min · 2026–27: 20.4 (16 games)
Power play: 1.7 min last 5 · 3.1 2026–27
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against PHI in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 8 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
J.T. MillerLW
Sean DurziDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHI
Shots on Goal: 3 in 17.8 min, Mar 9 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against PHI on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 1.9
- −0.6 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −175
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −160
Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −160, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| −2251 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +1253 books | −1753 books | 6/10 | |
| +3101 book | — | 9/10 | |
| +7501 book | — | 9/10 | |
| +18001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle5 hr ago | +122 | −160Best |
| DraftKings5 hr ago | +130Best | −175 |
| Bally Bet5 hr ago | +125 | −180 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.
This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.


