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Michael Rasmussen

Detroit Red Wings · C · #27

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1101 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)

    Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 8; with him: 20 of 71 (79 games as teammates)

  • TonightDefense vs forwards

    TB allow 16.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 31st most of 32

    13 games · last 10 games: 17.0, 28th most

  • TonightRest · back-to-back

    Red Wings played last night (at FLA): a back-to-back

  • Teammate out

    Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)

    Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 22; with him: 17 of 57 (79 games as teammates)

Game log against Over 1.5

43%3 of 7L20 · Without Larkin

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of 7 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

  1. at FLA, 2026-03-10: 1, missed, 16.4 min
  2. at TB, 2026-03-12: 1, missed, 13 min
  3. at NYR, 2026-04-04: 1, missed, 9.5 min (not counted)
  4. vs MIN, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 12.1 min (not counted)
  5. vs CBJ, 2026-04-07: 0, missed, 8 min (not counted)
  6. vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 14.9 min
  7. vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 4, cleared, 16.2 min
  8. vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 0, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
  9. vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 2, cleared, 15.3 min (not counted)
  10. at MTL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 18.1 min (not counted)
  11. vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 17.6 min (not counted)
  12. vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
  13. vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 18.6 min (not counted)
  14. at SEA, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 15.8 min (not counted)
  15. at VAN, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 14.6 min (not counted)
  16. at CGY, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 13.8 min (not counted)
  17. at EDM, 2026-10-26: 4, cleared, 19 min (not counted)
  18. vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 16.4 min
  19. vs STL, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 14.5 min
  20. at FLA, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 15.2 min
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

  • Alex DeBrincatRW

  • Viktor ArvidssonLW

  • Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve

  • Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve

  • Albert JohanssonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Rasmussen didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; shots on goal the last time Rasmussen faced them: 1 (Mar 12)

Over 1.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against TB on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 1.5

Average
2
+0.5 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
43%
3 of 7
Price implies
48%
at +110
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Time on ice
15.2
7 games · 12.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+1101 book−1461 book3/7
Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Pinnacle1 min ago+110Best−146Best

Prices as of 2:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −105 → +110 since first seen

Michael Rasmussen's full game log and splits