Michael Brandsegg-Nygard

Detroit Red Wings · RW · #28

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

56%5 of 9L20 · Without Larkin

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of 9 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

at NJ, 2026-03-08: 2, cleared, 12.8 min
at FLA, 2026-03-10: 1, missed, 12.1 min
at TB, 2026-03-12: 0, missed, 10.5 min
at TB, 2026-04-13: 0, missed, 11.5 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 3, cleared, 16.4 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 3, cleared, 9.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 6, cleared, 19.6 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 1, missed, 12.6 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 4, cleared, 14.3 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 15.1 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 4, cleared, 19 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 15.1 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 17 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 16 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 16.4 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 16.6 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 15.3 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 15.4 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 15.7 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 16.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different on Tuesday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TueTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 9 of 20 (29 games as teammates)
TueDefense vs forwards
TB allow 16.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 17.0, 28th most
TueRest · back-to-back
Red Wings played the day before (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 15; with him: 6 of 14 (29 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Alex DeBrincatRW
Viktor ArvidssonLW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Tuesday. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Shots on Goal: 0 in 11.5 min, Apr 13 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against TB on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 1.5

Average: 1.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 56%; 5 of 9
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Time on ice: 14.3; 9 games · 12.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5251 book	—	6/9
−1253 books	−1063 books	5/9
+2251 book	—	3/9
+6001 book	—	1/9
+15001 book	—	1/9

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet45 hr ago	−118Best	−117
Pinnacle45 hr ago	−125	−106
DraftKings45 hr ago	−130	−105Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −120 → −125 since first seen

Michael Brandsegg-Nygard's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.