Michael Amadio

Ottawa Senators · RW · #22

OTT @ BUF · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +4805 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 12; with him: 2 of 4 (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 9 of 37 (40 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BUF allow 3.21 goals a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.00, 8th most

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs STL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 14.2 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 14.2 min
at PHI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 11.9 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 14.8 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 13.9 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 17.2 min
at VGK, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 14 min
at LA, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 18.3 min
at SJ, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 17.7 min
at ANA, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 17.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 6 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Jake SandersonD
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Goals: 0 in 18.9 min, Apr 2 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 6 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 17%; at +480
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 15.4; 10 games · 16.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+4805 books	—	2/10
	+55005 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	+480Best	—
betPARX7 min ago	+480Best	—
BetRivers7 min ago	+480Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+470	—
Bovada6 min ago	+440	—

Prices as of 6:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +490 → +480 since first seen

Michael Amadio's full game log and splits