Matvei Michkov
MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 1.69 goals a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.10, 28th most
Teammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 19; with him: 9 of 55 (74 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jesper Wallstedt (Expected)
Saves: 229 of 250 (.916) over his last 10 games · 8 of MIN's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.1 min · 2026–27: 15.9 (16 games)
Power play: 4.5 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Game log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 at home).
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Trevor ZegrasC
Oliver BonkD
Travis KonecnyRW
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Goals: 0 in 15.9 min, Mar 12 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 33%
- at +205
- Books’ fair
- 30%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 16.1
- 10 games · 14.6 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 30%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2056 books | −3052 books | 6/10 | |
| +11505 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +75004 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | +220Best | −310 |
| DraftKings10 min ago | +210 | — |
| Bally Bet10 min ago | +205 | — |
| betPARX8 min ago | +205 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +205 | — |
| Pinnacle10 min ago | +200 | −300Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over +215 → +205 since first seen


