Matvei Gridin

Calgary Flames · RW · #92

ANA @ CGY · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1953 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at VGK, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 13.7 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 15.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 15 min
vs DET, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 17.9 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 16.2 min
at EDM, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 22.5 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 16.3 min
at COL, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 13.6 min
at SJ, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 15.9 min
at SEA, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 15.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
ANA allow 4.69 assists a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.30, 3rd most
Teammate out
Jonathan Huberdeau: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 25 of 41; with him: 5 of 8 (49 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Connor Zary: Out (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 12 of 20; with him: 22 of 33 (53 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Lukas Dostal (Expected)
Saves: 226 of 263 (.859) over his last 10 games · 4 of ANA's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ANA in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 against ANA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Joel FarabeeLW
Matt CoronatoRW
Morgan FrostC
Jonathan HuberdeauLWInjured Reserve
Connor ZaryCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Flames count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ANA

Assists: 0 in 14.3 min, Oct 13 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against ANA on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −195
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −193

Research, not a pick. At −195 the price is worse than our fair −193, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1443 books	−1951 book	6/10
	+8503 books	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 min ago	+145Best	−195Best
Bovada9 min ago	+138	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+144	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Matvei Gridin's full game log and splits