Matthew Tkachuk

Florida Panthers · LW · #19

CHI @ FLA · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1062 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Aleksander Barkov: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 23 of 44; with him: 6 of 20 (64 games as teammates)
TonightDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 22.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 24.0, 2nd most
Teammate out
Brad Marchand: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 33; with him: 14 of 31 (64 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Spencer Knight (Expected)
Saves: 273 of 304 (.898) over his last 10 games · 9 of CHI's last 10 starts

28%5 of 18L20 · Without Barkov

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of 18 games without Aleksander Barkov (his last 20 games).

vs OTT, 2026-03-31: 5, cleared, 17.2 min
vs BOS, 2026-04-02: 2, missed, 18.3 min
at PIT, 2026-04-04: 0, missed, 15.7 min
at PIT, 2026-04-05: 3, cleared, 21.2 min
vs DET, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 13.3 min
at CAR, 2026-09-29: 2, missed, 19 min (not counted)
at SJ, 2026-10-01: 2, missed, 22.8 min (not counted)
at ANA, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 23.5 min
at LA, 2026-10-06: 2, missed, 21.4 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-10: 4, cleared, 18.6 min
at BUF, 2026-10-12: 2, missed, 18.4 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 17.3 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 22 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-17: 4, cleared, 12.9 min
at OTT, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 17.5 min
at PIT, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 18.3 min
at CHI, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 18.5 min
at WPG, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 16.8 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 16.9 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 20.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Seth JonesD
Brady TkachukLW
Aleksander BarkovCInjured Reserve
Brad MarchandLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Panthers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Shots on Goal: 3 in 18.5 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against CHI on record

L20 · Without Barkov · Over 2.5

Average: 1.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 28%; 5 of 18
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.2; 18 games · 18.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Barkov

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−20952 books	—	16/18
−3122 books	—	10/18
−1062 books	−1221 book	5/18
+2402 books	—	3/18
+5502 books	—	1/18

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−106Best	−122Best
Bovada11 min ago	−107	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −104 → −106 since first seen

Matthew Tkachuk's full game log and splits