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Matthew Tkachuk

Florida Panthers · LW · #19

CHI @ FLA · Tomorrow 7:30 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1654 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Aleksander Barkov: Injured Reserve (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 12 of 44; with him: 5 of 20 (64 games as teammates)

  • TonightDefense vs forwards

    CHI allow 3.40 goals a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32

    15 games · last 10 games: 3.20, 5th most

  • Teammate out

    Brad Marchand: Injured Reserve (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 33; with him: 10 of 31 (64 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Spencer Knight (Expected)

    Saves: 273 of 304 (.898) over his last 10 games · 9 of CHI's last 10 starts

Game log against Over 0.5

22%4 of 18L20 · Without Barkov

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 4 of 18 games without Aleksander Barkov (his last 20 games).

  1. vs OTT, 2026-03-31: 1, cleared, 17.2 min
  2. vs BOS, 2026-04-02: 0, missed, 18.3 min
  3. at PIT, 2026-04-04: 0, missed, 15.7 min
  4. at PIT, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 21.2 min
  5. vs DET, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 13.3 min
  6. at CAR, 2026-09-29: 0, missed, 19 min (not counted)
  7. at SJ, 2026-10-01: 1, cleared, 22.8 min (not counted)
  8. at ANA, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 23.5 min
  9. at LA, 2026-10-06: 1, cleared, 21.4 min
  10. vs MIN, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 18.6 min
  11. at BUF, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 18.4 min
  12. at CBJ, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 17.3 min
  13. vs VAN, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 22 min
  14. vs SEA, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 12.9 min
  15. at OTT, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 17.5 min
  16. at PIT, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 18.3 min
  17. at CHI, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
  18. at WPG, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 16.8 min
  19. vs WPG, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 16.9 min
  20. vs DET, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 20.5 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Seth JonesD

  • Brady TkachukLW

  • Aleksander BarkovCInjured Reserve

  • Brad MarchandLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Panthers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Goals: 1 in 18.5 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CHI on record

L20 · Without Barkov · Over 0.5

Average
0.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
22%
4 of 18
Price implies
38%
at +165
Books’ fair
35%
margin removed
Time on ice
18.2
18 games · 18.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 35%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Barkov
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+1654 books−2301 book4/18
+8504 books—0/18
+50004 books—0/18
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
FanDuel1 min ago+170Best−230Best
Bally Bet2 min ago+165—
betPARX1 min ago+165—
BetRivers1 min ago+165—

Prices as of 11:24 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +160 → +165 since first seen

Matthew Tkachuk's full game log and splits