Matthew Schaefer
CAR @ NYI · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
71%10 of 14L20 · Without Barzal
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 10 of 14 games without Mathew Barzal (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Mathew Barzal: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 11 of 15; with him: 45 of 81 (96 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs defensemen
CAR allow 1.24 points a game to defensemen: the fewest of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 1.30, the fewest
Teammate out
Matias Maccelli: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 6; with him: 5 of 8 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Calum Ritchie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 40 of 73 (86 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L20Mathew BarzalCInjured Reserve
Bo HorvatC
Matias MaccelliLWInjured Reserve
Calum RitchieCInjured Reserve
Alexander RomanovDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Islanders count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CAR
Points: 0 in 24.2 min, Apr 14 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against CAR on record
L20 · Without Barzal · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 71%
- 10 of 14
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −148
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 26.8
- 14 games · 24.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 53%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Barzal| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1486 books | −1052 books | 10/14 | |
| +3205 books | — | 3/14 | |
| +12001 book | — | 1/14 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings5 min ago | −125Best | −105 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −142 | — |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −142 | +107Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −148 | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −148 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −148 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5−136 → −148 since first seen


