Matt Boldy

Minnesota Wild · LW · #12

TB @ MIN · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1046 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 at home).

vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 6, cleared, 21.8 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 22.5 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 7, cleared, 25.1 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 17.2 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 22.7 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 22.1 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 21.2 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 21.3 min
at PHI, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 20.3 min
vs SJ, 2026-11-06: 7, cleared, 19.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
TB allow 16.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 17.3, 28th most
TodayRest · back-to-back
Wild played the day before (vs SJ): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Over 3.5 without him: 11 of 18; with him: 39 of 87 (105 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 3.5 without him: 9 of 17; with him: 19 of 29 (46 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Joel Eriksson EkC
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Shots on Goal: 3 in 22.2 min, Oct 8 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against TB on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.4; 10 games · 21 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−40001 book	—	10/10
−7502 books	—	10/10
−2252 books	—	9/10
−1046 books	−1385 books	6/10
+2352 books	—	4/10
+4802 books	—	3/10
+10001 book	—	2/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+112Best	−146
DraftKings8 min ago	+110	−150
Pinnacle8 min ago	+106	−138
Bally Bet8 min ago	−104	−136Best
betPARX2 min ago	−104	−136Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−104	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:04 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +104 → −104 since first seen

Matt Boldy's full game log and splits