Matt Boldy

Minnesota Wild · LW · #12

SJ @ MIN · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1452 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 at home).

vs STL, 2026-10-15: 8, cleared, 24.9 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 6, cleared, 21.8 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 22.5 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 7, cleared, 25.1 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 17.2 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 22.7 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 22.1 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 21.2 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 21.3 min
at PHI, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 20.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
SJ allow 22.2 shots on goal a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 23.5, 2nd most
Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Over 3.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 39 of 87 (104 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 3.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 19 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Yaroslav Askarov (Expected)
Saves: 259 of 292 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of SJ's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SJ in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 6 of 7 against SJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Joel Eriksson EkC
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SJ

Shots on Goal: 4 in 20 min, Dec 31, 2025 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 6 of 7 games against SJ on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4.5; +1 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −145
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.9; 10 games · 21 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 55%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−15002 books	—	10/10
−3752 books	—	9/10
−1452 books	+1081 book	6/10
+1542 books	—	4/10
+2902 books	—	3/10
+6002 books	—	2/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−140Best	+108Best
Bovada4 min ago	−145	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −148 → −145 since first seen

Matt Boldy's full game log and splits