Mark Stone
VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 11; with him: 5 of 6 (17 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 183 of 215 (.851) over his last 10 games · 5 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 6.50 points a game to forwards: 14th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 20th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.8 min · 2026–27: 18.6 (17 games)
Power play: 2.2 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 3 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Stone didn't play the Mar 4 meeting; points the last time Stone faced them: 3 (Mar 22, 2025)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against DET on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 68%
- at −210
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −170
Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −170, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2102 books | +1201 book | 8/10 | |
| +2402 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +8702 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings11 min ago | −165Best | +120Best |
| FanDueljust now | −210 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5−205 → −210 since first seen


