Mark Scheifele

Winnipeg Jets · C · #55

WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1867 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)
Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 57 of 86 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 0.5 without him: 19 of 31; with him: 48 of 72 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jacob Fowler (Confirmed)
Saves: 239 of 256 (.934) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
MTL allow 5.93 points a game to forwards: 21st most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 4.40, 31st most

55%6 of 11L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of 11 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

at STL, 2026-04-09: 2, cleared, 20.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 20.4 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-04-13: 2, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 2, cleared, 21.2 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 0, missed, 18.6 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 21.4 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 18.1 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-05: 0, missed, 21.3 min (not counted)
vs COL, 2026-10-07: 2, cleared, 22.5 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 1, cleared, 22.3 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 16.3 min
at CHI, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 21.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 19.3 min
at STL, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 20.9 min
at DAL, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 23.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 25.1 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 20.2 min
at TB, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 20.5 min
at FLA, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 22.3 min
at CAR, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 20.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Kyle ConnorLW
Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve
Neal PionkD
Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Points: 0 in 25.1 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MTL on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 55%; 6 of 11
Price implies: 65%; at −186
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −186 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1867 books	+1472 books	6/11
+2506 books	—	2/11
+8006 books	—	2/11

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−186Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−186Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−186Best	—
Bovada3 min ago	−186Best	—
Pinnacle4 min ago	−195	+145
DraftKings12 min ago	−205	+150Best
FanDuel2 min ago	−225	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen

Mark Scheifele's full game log and splits