Mark Scheifele
WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10Matchup · 14 games
MTL allow 5.93 points a game to forwards: 21st most of 32
Rest
1 day off since Nov 1 at CAR
Last vs MTL
Points: 0 in 25.1 min, Oct 25 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MTL on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 66%
- at −193
- Books’ fair
- 62%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −192 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1932 books | +1451 book | 5/10 | |
| +2452 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +8602 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −192Best | — |
| DraftKings2 min ago | −195 | +145Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:58 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over −186 → −193 since first seen




