Macklin Celebrini

San Jose Sharks · C · #71

SJ @ MIN · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2306 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

56%5 of 9L20 · Without Wennberg

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of 9 games without Alexander Wennberg (his last 20 games).

at ANA, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 22.2 min (not counted)
vs VAN, 2026-04-11: 2, cleared, 22.2 min (not counted)
at NSH, 2026-04-13: 2, cleared, 19.6 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 18.9 min (not counted)
at WPG, 2026-04-16: 3, cleared, 14.7 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-01: 3, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs LA, 2026-10-03: 2, cleared, 21.7 min (not counted)
vs EDM, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 19.9 min (not counted)
at NSH, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 23.7 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 26.9 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 22 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 23.1 min
at OTT, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 23.2 min
at BOS, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 21.6 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 25 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 22.9 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 19.7 min
vs CGY, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 22.9 min
at LA, 2026-11-04: 1, cleared, 22.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Alexander Wennberg: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 63 of 87 (97 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 4.35 points a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 4.30, the fewest
Teammate out
Igor Chernyshov: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 17 of 27; with him: 28 of 37 (64 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jesper Wallstedt (Expected)
Saves: 223 of 245 (.910) over his last 10 games · 9 of MIN's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 6 of 6 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Alexander WennbergCInjured Reserve
Will SmithC
Jacob TroubaD
Igor ChernyshovLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sharks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Points: 2 in 22 min, Dec 31, 2025 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 6 of 6 games against MIN on record

L20 · Without Wennberg · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 56%; 5 of 9
Price implies: 70%; at −230
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −220 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −157, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Wennberg

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2306 books	+1602 books	5/9
+2055 books	pick'em only	2/9
+6005 books	—	2/9

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−220Best	—
Pinnacle5 min ago	−220Best	+160
Bally Bet5 min ago	−230	—
betPARX3 min ago	−230	—
BetRivers4 min ago	−230	—
DraftKings5 min ago	−230	+170Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:48 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Macklin Celebrini's full game log and splits