MacKenzie Weegar

Utah Mammoth · D · #52

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1573 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs defensemen
TOR allow 8.8 shots on goal a game to defensemen: the most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 9.8, the most
Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 18 of 33 (40 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: 18 of 32 (40 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anthony Stolarz started TOR's last game
Saves: 230 of 255 (.902) over his last 10 games · 4 of TOR's last 10 starts · Sergei Bobrovsky started 6 · no probable starter posted yet

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at BUF, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 20.4 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 22.2 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 23 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 22.6 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 3, cleared, 24 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 6, cleared, 22.6 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 25.3 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 22.1 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 23.9 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Logan CooleyC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Shots on Goal: 3 in 22.2 min, Oct 13 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −157
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Time on ice: 22.8; 10 games · 22.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 57%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7001 book	—	8/10
−1573 books	+1153 books	5/10
+1801 book	—	3/10
+4751 book	—	1/10
+12001 book	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Pinnacle2 hr ago	−155Best	+115Best
Bally Bet2 hr ago	−157	+112
DraftKings2 hr ago	−160	+115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

2.5 → 1.5 since first seen

MacKenzie Weegar's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.