Lucas Raymond

Detroit Red Wings · LW · #23

VGK @ DET · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1603 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%4 of 7L20 · Without Larkin

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 4 of 7 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-09: 2, cleared, 17.1 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 1, cleared, 19.9 min (not counted)
at TB, 2026-04-13: 0, missed, 18.1 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 16 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 20 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 23.9 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 3, cleared, 19.8 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 1, cleared, 17.4 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 21.2 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 21.8 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 24.1 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 17.7 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 20.8 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 2, cleared, 21.2 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 18.8 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 19.3 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 18.2 min
at TB, 2026-11-03: 1, cleared, 19.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his last 5 came with Dylan Larkin playing; Larkin is out yesterday. Without him: Over 0.5 in 7 of 14.

YesterdayTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 54 of 82 (96 games as teammates)
YesterdayOpposing goalie
Carter Hart (Confirmed)
Saves: 221 of 247 (.895) over his last 10 games · 4 of VGK's last 10 starts · Adin Hill started 6
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 0.5 without him: 15 of 26; with him: 46 of 70 (96 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Albert Johansson: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 5; with him: 56 of 91 (96 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VGK in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against VGK on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Alex DeBrincatRW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Viktor ArvidssonLW
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Points: 1 in 21.3 min, Mar 4 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −152

Research, not a pick. At −152 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −152, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1603 books	+1202 books	4/7
+2952 books	—	1/7
+11001 book	—	0/7

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet17 hr ago	−152Best	—
DraftKings17 hr ago	−160	+120Best
Pinnacle17 hr ago	−160	+120Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−188 → −160 since first seen

Lucas Raymond's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.