Logan Stankoven
CHI @ CAR · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 2.5
90%9 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 22.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 23.5, 3rd most
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Over 2.5 without him: 14 of 19; with him: 33 of 108 (127 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Spencer Knight (Expected)
Saves: 272 of 305 (.892) over his last 10 games · 8 of CHI's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 15.4 min · 2026–27: 16.9 (18 games)
Power play: 1.3 min last 5 · 1.6 2026–27
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CHI in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Andrei SvechnikovLW
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CHI
Shots on Goal: 2 in 16.2 min, Oct 10 (away)
Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against CHI on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −102 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −3253 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1147 books | −1245 books | 9/10 | |
| +2303 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +5003 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | −102Best | — |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −105 | −130 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −114 | −124 |
| betPARX3 min ago | −114 | −124 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −114 | — |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −114 | −116Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over: +104 → −114 since first seen


