Logan Stankoven
CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 48 of 109 (126 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 278 of 308 (.903) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 6.29 points a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 6.40, 17th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 15.9 min · 2026–27: 17.1 (16 games)
Power play: 1.2 min last 5 · 1.7 2026–27
Game log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NSH
Points: 1 in 13.8 min, Dec 17, 2025 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against NSH on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1207 books | +1002 books | 6/10 | |
| +4006 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +13482 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada7 min ago | −115Best | — |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −120 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −120 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −120 | — |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −135 | +100Best |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −135 | +100Best |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −140 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over −122 → −120 since first seen