Kiefer Sherwood

San Jose Sharks · LW · #44

SJ @ LA · Wed, Nov 4 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1503 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

88%7 of 8L20 · Without Wennberg

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of 8 games without Alexander Wennberg (his last 20 games).

vs VAN, 2026-04-11: 1, missed, 17.4 min (not counted)
at NSH, 2026-04-13: 3, cleared, 16.6 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 18.3 min (not counted)
at WPG, 2026-04-16: 4, cleared, 14.1 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-01: 1, missed, 14 min (not counted)
vs LA, 2026-10-03: 2, cleared, 11.8 min (not counted)
at DAL, 2026-10-05: 1, missed, 15 min (not counted)
at STL, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs EDM, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 16.3 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 13.9 min (not counted)
at NSH, 2026-10-15: 5, cleared, 19.3 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 12.9 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 13.6 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 16.2 min
at OTT, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 18.7 min
at BOS, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 14.9 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 16 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 18 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 12 min
vs CGY, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 19.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for Wednesday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different on Wednesday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Alexander Wennberg playing; Wennberg is out on Wednesday. Without him: Over 1.5 in 8 of 9.

WedTeammate out
Alexander Wennberg: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 9; with him: 17 of 35 (44 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Igor Chernyshov: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 13 of 20; with him: 12 of 24 (44 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Darcy Kuemper (Confirmed)
Saves: 227 of 264 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of LA's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
LA allow 20.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 20.6, 11th most

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Macklin CelebriniC
Alexander WennbergCInjured Reserve
Will SmithC
Igor ChernyshovLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Sharks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LA

Shots on Goal: 2 in 11.8 min, Oct 3 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against LA on record

L20 · Without Wennberg · Over 1.5

Average: 2.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 3; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 88%; 7 of 8
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −136 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Wennberg

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−6501 book	—	7/8
−1503 books	+1053 books	7/8
+1901 book	—	5/8
+5001 book	—	2/8
+12001 book	—	1/8

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Pinnacle31 hr ago	−136Best	+102
Bally Bet31 hr ago	−150	+105
DraftKings31 hr ago	−150	+110Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:14 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −135 → −150 since first seen

Kiefer Sherwood's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:14 PM ET.