Kiefer Sherwood

San Jose Sharks · LW · #44

SJ @ MIN · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2254 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

22%2 of 9L20 · Without Wennberg

Under 0.5 Points hit in 2 of 9 games without Alexander Wennberg (his last 20 games).

at NSH, 2026-04-13: 0, hit, 16.6 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-15: 2, missed, 18.3 min (not counted)
at WPG, 2026-04-16: 1, missed, 14.1 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-01: 0, hit, 14 min (not counted)
vs LA, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 11.8 min (not counted)
at DAL, 2026-10-05: 0, hit, 15 min (not counted)
at STL, 2026-10-08: 0, hit, 18 min (not counted)
vs EDM, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 16.3 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 13.9 min (not counted)
at NSH, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 19.3 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 12.9 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 13.6 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 16.2 min
at OTT, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 18.7 min
at BOS, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 14.9 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 16 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 18 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 12 min
vs CGY, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at LA, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 17.7 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Alexander Wennberg: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 3 of 10; with him: 24 of 35 (45 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 4.35 points a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 4.30, the fewest
Teammate out
Igor Chernyshov: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 13 of 21; with him: 14 of 24 (45 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jesper Wallstedt (Expected)
Saves: 223 of 245 (.910) over his last 10 games · 9 of MIN's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 20; Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 7 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20

Macklin CelebriniC
Alexander WennbergCInjured Reserve
Will SmithC
Igor ChernyshovLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sharks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Sherwood didn't play the Dec 31, 2025 meeting; points the last time Sherwood faced them: 0 (Dec 6, 2025)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against MIN on record

L20 · Without Wennberg · Under 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 22%; 2 of 9
Price implies: 69%; at −225
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −159

Research, not a pick. At −225 the price is worse than our fair −159, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Wennberg

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+1884 books	−2251 book	2/9
	+10001 book	—	8/9

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings14 min ago	+165	−225Best
Bally Bet14 min ago	+188Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	+188Best	—
BetRivers7 min ago	+188Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:38 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: −230 → −225 since first seen

Kiefer Sherwood's full game log and splits