Kent Johnson

Columbus Blue Jackets · C · #91

DAL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1657 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at STL, 2026-10-10: 3, cleared, 17 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 15.2 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-17: 4, cleared, 20.9 min
at MIN, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 18.9 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 17.2 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 17.8 min
at PHI, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 14.7 min
at CAR, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 20.8 min
at DAL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 19.3 min
vs COL, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 18.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
DAL allow 16.1 shots on goal a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 16.1, 31st most
Opposing goalie
Jake Oettinger (Expected)
Saves: 198 of 219 (.904) over his last 10 games · 8 of DAL's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.3 min · 2026–27: 17.8 (13 games)
Power play: 2.6 min last 5 · 3.2 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs COL

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Zach WerenskiD
Charlie CoyleC
Damon SeversonD

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blue Jackets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Shots on Goal: 1 in 19.3 min, Oct 31 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against DAL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −140 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −137, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8503 books	—	8/10
−1657 books	+1236 books	6/10
+1983 books	—	3/10
+5501 book	—	1/10
+13001 book	—	0/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings5 min ago	−140Best	+105
Bovada4 min ago	−145	+110
Pinnacle5 min ago	−164	+123
FanDuel3 min ago	−165	+126Best
Bally Bet5 min ago	−177	+125
betPARX4 min ago	−177	+125
BetRivers5 min ago	−177	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:26 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Kent Johnson's full game log and splits