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Kent Johnson
COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.
Count only
Under 0.5 · L10Matchup · 15 games
COL allow 3.33 assists a game to forwards: 24th most of 32
Rest
2 days off since Oct 31 at DAL
Last vs COL
Assists: 0 in 16.5 min, Jan 10 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against COL on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 69%
- at −221
- Books’ fair
- 64%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −177
Research, not a pick. At −221 the price is worse than our fair −177, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1623 books | −2211 book | 7/10 | |
| +9002 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle2 min ago | +162Best | −221Best |
| Bovada2 min ago | +162Best | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +162Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.