Josh Doan

Buffalo Sabres · RW · #91

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price +2601 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 12 of 38; with him: 3 of 24 (62 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Conor Timmins: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 12 of 57; with him: 18 of 52 (109 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 177 of 204 (.868) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 3.50 assists a game to forwards: 20th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 4.10, 9th most

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 at home).

vs UTAH, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 14.3 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 16.3 min
at MTL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 17.4 min
at TOR, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 17.4 min
at MTL, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 15.2 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 13.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 12.7 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 15.8 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 14 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 13.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tage ThompsonC
Rasmus DahlinD
Zach BensonLW
Konsta HeleniusCOut
Conor TimminsDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Assists: 0 in 18.4 min, Apr 2 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against OTT on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 28%; at +260
Books’ fair: 26%; margin removed
Time on ice: 15; 10 games · 15.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 26%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2601 book	−3601 book	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings7 min ago	+260Best	−360Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Josh Doan's full game log and splits