Josh Anderson

Montreal Canadiens · RW · #17

UTAH @ MTL · Thu, Nov 5 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1185 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).

vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 14.4 min
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 3, cleared, 13.8 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 14.4 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 16.2 min
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 13.3 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 14.5 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 17.1 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 15.7 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 15 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-03: 2, cleared, 17.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Sebastian Cossa (Confirmed)
Saves: 81 of 94 (.862) over his last 5 games · 3 of UTAH's last 10 starts · Karel Vejmelka started 7
Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 13; with him: 36 of 93 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 40 of 96 (106 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 18.2 shots on goal a game to forwards: 25th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 18.7, 23rd most

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Nick SuzukiC
Cole CaufieldRW
Lane HutsonD
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Shots on Goal: 2 in 18.7 min, Nov 26, 2025 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −151

Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7252 books	—	10/10
−1185 books	−1201 book	9/10
+1902 books	—	3/10
+4751 book	—	0/10
+12001 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet13 hr ago	−118Best	−120Best
betPARX13 hr ago	−118Best	—
BetRivers13 hr ago	−118Best	—
Bovada13 hr ago	−130	—
DraftKings13 hr ago	−150	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −125 → −118 since first seen

Josh Anderson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.