Josh Anderson

Montreal Canadiens · RW · #17

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1375 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Nick Suzuki playing; Suzuki is out tonight. Without him: Over 1.5 in 4 of 5.

TonightTeammate out
Nick Suzuki: Out (hand)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 5; with him: 41 of 100 (105 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (foot)
Over 1.5 without him: 9 of 12; with him: 36 of 93 (105 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 40 of 96 (105 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Stuart Skinner (Expected)
Saves: 242 of 273 (.886) over his last 10 games · 6 of WPG's last 10 starts

80%4 of 5L20 · Without Suzuki

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of 5 games without Nick Suzuki (his last 20 games).

at BUF, 2026-05-18: 3, cleared, 17.2 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-21: 0, missed, 14.6 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-23: 2, cleared, 14.6 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-05-25: 0, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-05-27: 2, cleared, 11.2 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-29: 3, cleared, 13.7 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-09-29: 3, cleared, 12.9 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-03: 3, cleared, 12.2 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-10-06: 0, missed, 12.5 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-08: 4, cleared, 14.4 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 14.9 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 14.4 min (not counted)
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 3, cleared, 13.8 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 14.4 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 16.2 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 13.3 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 14.5 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 17.1 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 15.7 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 15 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 shots on goal.

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Nick SuzukiCOut
Lane HutsonD
Cole CaufieldRW
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WPG

Shots on Goal: 3 in 14.5 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against WPG on record

L20 · Without Suzuki · Over 1.5

Average: 2.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 4 of 5
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −156, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Suzuki

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5001 book	—	5/5
−1375 books	−1074 books	4/5
+2401 book	—	2/5
+6001 book	—	0/5
+16001 book	—	0/5

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	−119Best	−111
DraftKings13 min ago	−120	−115
Bally Bet4 min ago	−137	−103Best
betPARX3 min ago	−137	−103Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−137	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −145 → −137 since first seen

Josh Anderson's full game log and splits