Jordan Spence

Ottawa Senators · D · #10

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price +2204 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 on the road).

vs STL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 20.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 23.9 min
at PHI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.3 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 18.3 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 17.6 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 19.3 min
at VGK, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 20.1 min
at LA, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 19.9 min
at SJ, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 18.3 min
at ANA, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 17.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 12; with him: 0 of 4 (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 14 of 38 (41 games as teammates)
Defense vs defensemen
BUF allow 2.36 points a game to defensemen: 11th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 2.30, 13th most

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Jake SandersonD
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Points: 1 in 30.8 min, Apr 2 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 31%; at +220
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Time on ice: 19.6; 10 games · 19.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	+2204 books	2/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ points”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	+220Best
betPARX1 min ago	+220Best
BetRivers1 min ago	+220Best
Bovada1 min ago	+220Best

Prices as of 1:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +215 → +220 since first seen

Jordan Spence's full game log and splits