Jordan Eberle

Seattle Kraken · RW · #7

CGY @ SEA · Tomorrow 10:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1562 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jared McCann: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 2.5 without him: 21 of 33; with him: 39 of 61 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Lindgren: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 2.5 without him: 10 of 16; with him: 50 of 78 (94 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dustin Wolf (Expected)
Saves: 250 of 283 (.883) over his last 10 games · 5 of CGY's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CGY allow 21.3 shots on goal a game to forwards: 7th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 20.9, 10th most

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at DET, 2026-10-09: 1, hit, 15.7 min
at WSH, 2026-10-11: 6, missed, 18.4 min
at PHI, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 16.3 min
at TB, 2026-10-15: 1, hit, 17.4 min
at FLA, 2026-10-17: 1, hit, 14 min
vs DET, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 16 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-22: 5, missed, 18.3 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-24: 2, hit, 18.9 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-28: 1, hit, 18.2 min
at CGY, 2026-10-30: 2, hit, 15.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–4 shots on goal.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Chandler StephensonC
Mackie SamoskevichRW
Kaapo KakkoRW
Jared McCannLWInjured Reserve
Ryan LindgrenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Kraken count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CGY

Shots on Goal: 2 in 15.8 min, Oct 30 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 8 of 11 games against CGY on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −156
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −156 the price is worse than our fair −145, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−18952 books	—	0/10
−2652 books	—	4/10
+1202 books	−1561 book	6/10
+3002 books	—	7/10
+6772 books	—	8/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel7 min ago	+120Best	−156Best
Bovada7 min ago	+120Best	—

Prices as of 8:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under −140 → −156 since first seen

Jordan Eberle's full game log and splits