Jonathan Lekkerimaki

Vancouver Canucks · RW · #88

ANA @ VAN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2906 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
ANA allow 4.50 assists a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 4.80, 2nd most
Teammate out
Filip Chytil: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 9 of 14; with him: 12 of 15 (29 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Lukas Dostal (Expected)
Saves: 226 of 263 (.859) over his last 10 games · 5 of ANA's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.2 min · 2026–27: 15.2 (16 games)
Power play: 3.9 min last 5 · 2.7 2026–27

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at NYR, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 14.9 min
at NYI, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 16.6 min
at FLA, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 17.7 min
at TB, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 13.1 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 15.9 min
vs DET, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 17.7 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 12 min
at ANA, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 19.9 min
at SJ, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 17.2 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 19 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Elias PetterssonC
Filip HronekD
Brock BoeserRW
Filip ChytilCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Canucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ANA

Assists: 1 in 19.9 min, Oct 27 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ANA on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 74%; at −290
Books’ fair: 70%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −183

Research, not a pick. At −290 the price is worse than our fair −183, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2156 books	−2901 book	5/10
	+11003 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings12 min ago	+210	−290Best
Bally Bet12 min ago	+220Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	+220Best	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+220Best	—
Bovada11 min ago	+200	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+200	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under No move since first seen

Jonathan Lekkerimaki's full game log and splits